Joe Biden has long led Donald Trump among voters ages 18 to 29. That was the case during the 2020 presidential election, and it will be the same in this presidential election.
But some new numbers show Trump is becoming more competitive with this age group, which has historically supported Democrats.
Related: 'The Rock' says he won't support Biden, causing rapid liberal collapse
Big changes to Trump for young voters
March 14-21, Harvard University Institute of Politics investigated 2,010 Americans between the ages of 18 and 29.
The poll shows that if the presidential election were held today, Biden would be favored by both registered voters (Biden 50%, Trump 37%) and likely voters under 30 (Biden 56%, Trump 37%). „I think the president will outperform former President Trump.“ Without voter selection (i.e., all young people between the ages of 18 and 29), the race would be narrowed down to single digits: 45% for President Biden, 37% for former President Trump, and 16% undecided. ”
Let's compare this to the last presidential election. That was a close battle.
The poll states, „For context, at this stage of the 2020 election, a Harvard University youth poll found that Mr. Biden has a lead of 23 points (51% to 28%) and 30 points (60%) over Mr. Trump among all young people. % to 30%). ) Many voters are under 30 years old. ”
In 2020, Biden led Trump by 23 points among all voters under the age of 30.
In this election, the difference between him and Biden is just 8 points, 18-29.
That's a big change, 15 changes to Trump for these young voters.
There is another point in which Mr. Trump has a decisive advantage over Mr. Biden. That's voter enthusiasm, but one that's largely absent on Biden's side.
Now, Biden's lead among the same group has fallen to just 8 points. This is a 15-point change in direction for President Trump.
The poll found that „three-quarters (76%) of Trump voters say they enthusiastically support the candidate, while 44% of Biden voters say the same.“
ah.
Numbers not optimistic for Biden
Other poll results show that just 9 percent of voters under 30 believe America is on the right path, and 58 percent of them think the country is on the wrong path.
„Young people today have clear concerns about where our country is going,“ said Sethi Warren, director of the Institute of Politics at Harvard's Kennedy School. news release.
„Concerns about the economy, foreign policy, immigration, and climate are turning young people across America into the spotlight, and they're increasingly prepared to make their voices heard at the polls this November,“ Warren added. .
Taking these young voters into account, Biden's job approval rating is 31 percent. Vice President Kamala Harris? It's almost as low as 32%.
“Make no mistake about it, this is a different young electorate than we saw in 2020 and 2022, and young voters have different motivations,” said Roberts, director of polling at the Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics. , says John Della Volpe, an expert on polling young voters. , Said politiko.
“Economic issues are a top priority, housing is a major concern, and the gap between the political preferences of young men and young women is striking,” he continued.
Please do not make any mistakes. Joe Biden remains in the lead in this key electorate.
But it's not as close as the 2020 race, which was already a close one.